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Red117
453631.2
205244.8
250823.2
Blue64
320216.4
451115.9
324426.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10541020608012014016011764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.81.3
43.344.6
Auto10.1
Teleop29.9
End4.9
red by 17.9
3244
#15
26.91.1
21.822.9
Auto6.7
Teleop14.5
End5.6
Second
31.21.3
30.531.8
Auto10.9
Teleop14.7
End5.6
red by 14.8
3202
#60
16.41.1
14.515.6
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End1.2
Third
2508
#25
23.22.1
19.121.3
Auto9.8
Teleop9.3
End4.2
red by 7.3
4511
#57
15.91.1
13.014.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed