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Red45
563714.5
527813.0
319727.3
Blue91
527130.1
249829.7
301821.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578702040801001204591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3197
#11
27.31.0
29.028.0
Auto7.7
Teleop14.9
End4.7
blue by 2.8
30.10.6
28.329.0
Auto9.3
Teleop15.3
End5.6
Second
5637
#46
14.51.5
16.014.5
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End2.5
blue by 15.2
29.70.4
29.329.7
Auto9.5
Teleop14.7
End5.5
Third
5278
#63
13.01.5
14.513.0
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End1.0
blue by 8.4
3018
#41
21.40.4
22.222.6
Auto9.5
Teleop10.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsMissed90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed