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Red52
466423.2
374515.6
247018.7
Blue39
345416.3
284723.0
310020.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52500204060801001205239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4664
#18
23.20.2
16.616.8
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End4.3
red by 0.1
2847
#44
23.02.2
15.813.6
Auto6.2
Teleop12.2
End4.6
Second
2470
#19
18.70.2
17.217.4
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End2.0
blue by 1.4
3100
#34
20.12.2
15.713.5
Auto7.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Third
3745
#58
15.60.2
16.016.2
Auto6.0
Teleop6.7
End2.9
blue by 0.7
3454
#52
16.32.2
17.315.1
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsMissed36%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed