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Red120
285524.4
205254.8
453631.2
Blue101
324426.9
318426.9
181625.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14691050200250300120101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.80.0
54.854.8
Auto17.7
Teleop31.2
End6.0
red by 28.0
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto6.7
Teleop14.5
End5.6
Second
4536
#11
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto10.2
Teleop13.5
End7.5
red by 4.3
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto6.0
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Third
2855
#27
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.4
End4.8
blue by 1.1
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End2.2