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Red50
249829.7
454921.8
298736.0
Blue99
284723.0
324426.9
217528.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92780501502005099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2987
#20
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto8.4
Teleop22.2
End5.5
red by 7.8
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End4.5
Second
2498
#28
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto9.5
Teleop14.7
End5.5
red by 2.8
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto6.7
Teleop14.5
End5.6
Third
4549
#32
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto6.1
Teleop11.6
End4.2
blue by 1.2
2847
#23
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto6.2
Teleop12.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach odds69%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds3%Capture odds