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Red46
324426.9
25009.5
212914.4
Blue73
451115.9
295712.9
453631.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506401001502002503003504673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto6.7
Teleop14.5
End5.6
blue by 4.3
4536
#11
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto10.2
Teleop13.5
End7.5
Second
2129
#35
14.40.0
14.414.4
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End0.7
blue by 1.6
4511
#16
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End4.5
Third
2500
#25
9.50.0
9.59.5
Auto1.8
Teleop6.8
End0.9
blue by 3.4
2957
#13
12.90.0
12.912.9
Auto2.5
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach odds46%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds3%Capture odds