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Red40
295712.9
253116.7
388331.8
Blue65
217719.9
298736.0
318426.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions589001001502004065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#22
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.4
Teleop18.7
End4.6
blue by 4.3
2987
#20
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto8.4
Teleop22.2
End5.5
Second
2531
#31
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.2
End1.4
blue by 10.2
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto6.0
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Third
2957
#13
12.90.0
12.912.9
Auto2.5
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 7.0
2177
#29
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach odds79%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds2%Capture odds