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Red79
205254.8
295712.9
421525.6
Blue70
249829.7
392629.3
181625.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98850501502007970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.80.0
54.854.8
Auto17.7
Teleop31.2
End6.0
red by 25.1
2498
#28
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto9.5
Teleop14.7
End5.5
Second
25.60.0
25.625.6
Auto5.7
Teleop15.9
End4.1
blue by 3.7
3926
#30
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto5.9
Teleop17.7
End5.8
Third
2957
#13
12.90.0
12.912.9
Auto2.5
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 12.7
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach odds89%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds1%Capture odds