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Final 32016 Minnesota State High School League State Championships
Red200
205251.2
517261.3
327629.0
Blue114
288339.9
400934.8
304233.4
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174125050100150200250300200114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#1
61.30.0
61.3→61.3
Auto17.0
Teleop34.5
End9.8
red by 21.5
2883
#23
39.90.0
39.9→39.9
Auto12.1
Teleop22.8
End4.9
Second
2052
#2
51.20.0
51.2→51.2
Auto14.2
Teleop29.2
End7.8
red by 16.4
4009
#4
34.80.0
34.8→34.8
Auto10.7
Teleop19.6
End4.5
Third
3276
#8
29.00.0
29.0→29.0
Auto7.3
Teleop16.3
End5.4
blue by 4.4
3042
#11
33.40.0
33.4→33.4
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End5.3