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Qual 12016 Minnesota State High School League State Championships
Red79
453924.4
250328.6
460724.7
Blue105
517261.3
253817.6
327629.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7311805010015020025079105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2503
#22
28.60.0
28.6→28.6
Auto8.7
Teleop13.5
End6.5
blue by 32.7
5172
#1
61.30.0
61.3→61.3
Auto17.0
Teleop34.5
End9.8
Second
4607
#14
24.70.0
24.7→24.7
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End6.0
blue by 4.3
3276
#8
29.00.0
29.0→29.0
Auto7.3
Teleop16.3
End5.4
Third
4539
#17
24.40.0
24.4→24.4
Auto5.5
Teleop15.9
End3.0
red by 6.8
2538
#26
17.60.0
17.6→17.6
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach odds84%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds1%Capture odds