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Red87
465627.4
327733.7
460724.7
Blue103
285524.4
205251.2
252625.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8510705015020087103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto7.9
Teleop16.3
End9.6
blue by 17.5
51.20.0
51.251.2
Auto14.2
Teleop29.2
End7.8
Second
4656
#24
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End4.5
red by 2.1
2526
#16
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End4.3
Third
4607
#14
24.70.0
24.724.7
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End6.0
red by 0.3
2855
#13
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds2%Capture odds