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Red133
453924.4
253029.3
304233.4
Blue67
222020.3
181625.5
288339.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions908840608010012013367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3042
#11
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End5.3
blue by 6.5
2883
#23
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto12.1
Teleop22.8
End4.9
Second
2530
#21
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End4.6
red by 3.7
1816
#30
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End2.2
Third
4539
#17
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto5.5
Teleop15.9
End3.0
red by 4.1
2220
#18
20.30.0
20.320.3
Auto6.7
Teleop11.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach odds90%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds1%Capture odds