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Red130
465627.4
543439.1
251241.5
Blue87
569029.5
617526.6
304233.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1158805015020025013087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
#15
41.50.0
41.541.5
Auto11.6
Teleop21.9
End8.0
red by 8.1
3042
#11
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End5.3
Second
5434
#10
39.10.0
39.139.1
Auto14.6
Teleop20.8
End3.8
red by 9.7
5690
#19
29.50.0
29.529.5
Auto9.7
Teleop13.5
End6.3
Third
4656
#24
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End4.5
red by 0.8
6175
#27
26.60.0
26.626.6
Auto10.7
Teleop11.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach odds86%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds2%Capture odds