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Qual 342016 Minnesota State High School League State Championships
Red105
304233.4
222020.3
282339.0
Blue134
250328.6
205251.2
250129.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9211650150200105134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2823
#12
39.00.0
39.0→39.0
Auto13.8
Teleop21.4
End3.7
blue by 12.2
2052
#2
51.20.0
51.2→51.2
Auto14.2
Teleop29.2
End7.8
Second
3042
#11
33.40.0
33.4→33.4
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End5.3
red by 3.7
2501
#7
29.70.0
29.7→29.7
Auto7.1
Teleop18.0
End4.7
Third
2220
#18
20.30.0
20.3→20.3
Auto6.7
Teleop11.2
End2.3
blue by 8.4
2503
#22
28.60.0
28.6→28.6
Auto8.7
Teleop13.5
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach odds88%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds2%Capture odds