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Semifinal 2-22016 Minnesota State High School League State Championships
Red125
543439.1
298736.0
310234.4
Blue175
288339.9
400934.8
304233.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1341326080100120160180200125175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5434
#10
39.10.0
39.1→39.1
Auto14.6
Teleop20.8
End3.8
blue by 0.7
2883
#23
39.90.0
39.9→39.9
Auto12.1
Teleop22.8
End4.9
Second
2987
#3
36.00.0
36.0→36.0
Auto8.4
Teleop22.2
End5.5
red by 1.2
4009
#4
34.80.0
34.8→34.8
Auto10.7
Teleop19.6
End4.5
Third
3102
#25
34.40.0
34.4→34.4
Auto10.5
Teleop19.8
End4.1
red by 1.0
3042
#11
33.40.0
33.4→33.4
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End5.3