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Red127
177534.5
198652.9
445520.7
Blue107
198735.8
180635.2
93524.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1341136080100120160180200127107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.90.0
52.952.9
Auto16.2
Teleop27.7
End8.9
red by 17.1
1987
#10
35.80.6
36.435.8
Auto11.0
Teleop17.7
End7.2
Second
34.50.0
34.534.5
Auto7.6
Teleop19.6
End7.3
blue by 0.8
35.20.5
35.835.2
Auto10.5
Teleop19.9
End4.9
Third
4455
#26
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End2.5
blue by 3.3
935
#34
24.00.5
24.524.0
Auto6.9
Teleop14.5
End2.6