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Red142
178528.7
495930.8
573029.8
Blue99
352827.1
173030.8
234621.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1149940608014016018014299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.0
31.131.2
Auto8.5
Teleop16.9
End5.3
Level
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto9.1
Teleop18.1
End3.5
Second
5730
#16
29.80.0
30.130.2
Auto8.7
Teleop16.1
End4.9
red by 2.7
3528
#12
27.10.0
27.127.1
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End4.5
Third
28.70.0
29.129.1
Auto8.8
Teleop15.1
End4.8
red by 7.2
2346
#29
21.50.0
21.621.5
Auto7.7
Teleop10.2
End3.7