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Red132
198735.8
180635.2
93524.0
Blue103
452232.1
182530.8
110826.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12211050100150200132103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#10
35.80.2
37.737.9
Auto11.0
Teleop17.7
End7.2
red by 3.7
4522
#33
32.10.5
32.432.0
Auto7.0
Teleop19.2
End5.9
Second
35.20.2
37.037.2
Auto10.5
Teleop19.9
End4.9
red by 4.5
30.80.5
31.130.7
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End4.5
Third
935
#34
24.00.2
25.725.9
Auto6.9
Teleop14.5
End2.6
blue by 2.9
1108
#37
26.90.5
27.326.8
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End4.6