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Red50
172323.8
184720.4
173714.3
Blue92
198652.9
348517.4
200123.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53700204060801001205092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#43
23.80.4
22.221.8
Auto8.3
Teleop11.9
End3.7
blue by 29.0
52.93.0
36.039.0
Auto16.2
Teleop27.7
End8.9
Second
1847
#39
20.40.4
14.213.8
Auto6.9
Teleop12.0
End1.5
blue by 3.0
2001
#21
23.43.0
14.217.2
Auto8.5
Teleop12.7
End2.2
Third
1737
#53
14.30.4
17.316.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End0.5
blue by 3.1
3485
#49
17.43.0
14.817.8
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed