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Red82
176422.3
580124.5
200123.4
Blue49
245727.9
198228.4
235722.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5371204060801001208249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5801
#14
24.53.1
16.319.4
Auto7.6
Teleop13.5
End3.4
blue by 3.9
1982
#17
28.42.0
23.821.8
Auto9.4
Teleop14.3
End4.7
Second
2001
#21
23.43.1
17.220.3
Auto8.5
Teleop12.7
End2.2
blue by 4.5
2457
#13
27.92.0
24.022.0
Auto6.5
Teleop15.2
End6.3
Third
1764
#48
22.33.1
20.623.7
Auto7.5
Teleop10.5
End4.3
blue by 0.6
2357
#18
22.92.0
18.816.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed