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Red76
177534.5
348517.4
184720.4
Blue47
176324.6
445520.7
512622.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615702040801001201401607647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.51.9
27.229.1
Auto7.6
Teleop19.6
End7.3
red by 9.9
1763
#31
24.61.0
17.516.5
Auto6.1
Teleop13.8
End4.7
Second
1847
#39
20.41.9
13.815.7
Auto6.9
Teleop12.0
End1.5
blue by 1.9
5126
#42
22.31.0
18.617.6
Auto10.4
Teleop9.6
End2.4
Third
3485
#49
17.41.9
17.819.8
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End0.8
blue by 3.3
4455
#26
20.71.0
19.818.8
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed