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Red32
173714.3
181017.8
216419.7
Blue49
182530.8
182714.8
514126.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54520204060801003249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2164
#30
19.72.2
21.719.5
Auto7.8
Teleop10.2
End1.8
blue by 11.1
30.80.2
24.424.2
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End4.5
Second
1810
#52
17.82.2
14.412.2
Auto5.5
Teleop10.2
End2.2
blue by 8.4
5141
#19
26.20.2
15.715.4
Auto8.0
Teleop13.6
End4.6
Third
1737
#53
14.32.2
16.113.8
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End0.5
blue by 0.5
1827
#55
14.80.2
11.010.7
Auto2.4
Teleop10.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed49%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed