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Red86
177723.9
445520.7
178528.7
Blue52
172323.8
591818.5
216719.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635401001502008652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.72.4
20.623.0
Auto8.8
Teleop15.1
End4.8
red by 4.9
1723
#43
23.80.7
23.723.0
Auto8.3
Teleop11.9
End3.7
Second
1777
#20
23.92.4
20.222.5
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End5.1
red by 4.7
2167
#36
19.20.7
12.812.1
Auto3.1
Teleop13.8
End2.4
Third
4455
#26
20.72.4
18.821.2
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End2.5
red by 2.2
5918
#45
18.50.7
16.916.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned43%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed