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Red80
182530.8
501328.0
508215.7
Blue32
199722.4
93710.2
241025.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions754902040601001208032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.81.2
24.225.4
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End4.5
red by 5.6
2410
#41
25.12.7
24.321.6
Auto5.3
Teleop15.2
End4.7
Second
5013
#15
28.01.2
24.425.7
Auto7.5
Teleop16.2
End4.3
red by 5.7
1997
#25
22.42.7
13.510.8
Auto3.2
Teleop14.3
End4.9
Third
5082
#38
15.71.2
20.321.5
Auto6.0
Teleop10.1
End-0.5
red by 5.5
937
#51
10.22.7
13.510.8
Auto1.8
Teleop7.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed