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Red74
198735.8
235310.0
352827.1
Blue71
220222.4
348517.4
176422.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69622040801007471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#10
35.80.9
28.629.5
Auto11.0
Teleop17.7
End7.2
red by 13.4
2202
#44
22.41.1
17.818.9
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End3.6
Second
3528
#12
27.10.9
25.226.1
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End4.5
red by 4.7
1764
#48
22.31.1
24.825.9
Auto7.5
Teleop10.5
End4.3
Third
2353
#47DQ
10.00.9
12.113.0
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End0.7
blue by 7.4
3485
#49
17.41.1
18.419.5
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsMissed60%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed