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Red74
526819.0
445520.7
452232.1
Blue86
193929.3
198228.4
176926.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62572040801007486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#33
32.11.6
26.728.3
Auto7.0
Teleop19.2
End5.9
red by 2.8
1939
#22
29.33.3
21.024.3
Auto7.1
Teleop18.3
End4.0
Second
4455
#26
20.71.6
15.817.4
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End2.5
blue by 7.8
1982
#17
28.43.3
19.022.3
Auto9.4
Teleop14.3
End4.7
Third
5268
#56
19.01.6
17.318.9
Auto7.5
Teleop8.1
End3.4
blue by 7.9
1769
#23
26.93.3
16.619.8
Auto8.5
Teleop14.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed