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Qual 592016 Greater Kansas City Regional
Red74
348517.4
256021.7
198228.4
Blue81
178528.7
511929.8
233522.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60663040507080901001107481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1982
#17
28.41.6
22.9→24.5
Auto9.4
Teleop14.3
End4.7
blue by 1.3
5119
#2
29.82.0
25.2→27.2
Auto9.4
Teleop14.9
End5.5
Second
2560
#40
21.71.6
16.8→18.5
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End3.7
blue by 7.0
1785
#7
28.72.0
24.2→26.1
Auto8.8
Teleop15.1
End4.8
Third
3485
#49
17.41.6
19.5→21.1
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End0.8
blue by 4.9
2335
#35
22.32.0
14.1→16.0
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed