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Red102
198735.8
452232.1
591818.5
Blue76
177534.5
180635.2
508215.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71902040608010012014010276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#10
35.83.4
31.635.0
Auto11.0
Teleop17.7
End7.2
red by 0.5
35.21.0
34.733.7
Auto10.5
Teleop19.9
End4.9
Second
4522
#33
32.13.4
25.428.7
Auto7.0
Teleop19.2
End5.9
blue by 2.4
34.51.0
31.230.3
Auto7.6
Teleop19.6
End7.3
Third
5918
#45
18.53.4
14.617.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End4.8
red by 2.8
5082
#38
15.71.0
18.717.7
Auto6.0
Teleop10.1
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed