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Red72
198228.4
220222.4
176324.6
Blue78
256021.7
177723.9
198421.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7053204060801001207278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1982
#17
28.40.7
24.525.3
Auto9.4
Teleop14.3
End4.7
red by 4.5
1777
#20
23.92.7
21.924.6
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End5.1
Second
1763
#31
24.60.7
22.222.9
Auto6.1
Teleop13.8
End4.7
red by 2.9
2560
#40
21.72.7
18.521.1
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End3.7
Third
2202
#44
22.40.7
18.819.5
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End3.6
red by 1.2
1984
#32
21.12.7
13.716.4
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsEarned45%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed