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Red60
3120.9
178528.7
287417.5
Blue49
508215.7
177723.9
184720.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626250556065706049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.0
26.025.9
Auto8.8
Teleop15.1
End4.8
red by 4.8
1777
#20
23.91.1
24.623.4
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End5.1
Second
31
#28
20.90.0
19.819.8
Auto10.0
Teleop8.2
End2.6
red by 0.5
1847
#39
20.41.1
17.716.6
Auto6.9
Teleop12.0
End1.5
Third
2874
#46
17.50.0
14.714.6
Auto6.7
Teleop9.1
End1.8
red by 1.8
5082
#38
15.71.1
17.716.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.1
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed