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Red108
176926.9
184720.4
233522.3
Blue40
182714.8
220222.4
93710.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694702040608010012014010840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1769
#23
26.91.4
26.227.5
Auto8.5
Teleop14.4
End4.0
red by 4.6
2202
#44
22.41.3
21.320.0
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End3.6
Second
2335
#35
22.31.4
21.222.5
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End5.0
red by 7.5
1827
#55
14.81.3
15.213.9
Auto2.4
Teleop10.1
End2.3
Third
1847
#39
20.41.4
16.617.9
Auto6.9
Teleop12.0
End1.5
red by 10.2
937
#51
10.21.3
12.311.0
Auto1.8
Teleop7.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed