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Red86
245727.9
193929.3
177723.9
Blue37
234621.5
173714.3
93710.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions924002060801001201408637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#22
29.30.4
29.329.7
Auto7.1
Teleop18.3
End4.0
red by 7.8
2346
#29
21.50.8
20.219.3
Auto7.7
Teleop10.2
End3.7
Second
2457
#13
27.90.4
28.428.8
Auto6.5
Teleop15.2
End6.3
red by 13.7
1737
#53
14.30.8
15.114.3
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End0.5
Third
1777
#20
23.90.4
23.523.9
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End5.1
red by 13.7
937
#51
10.20.8
11.010.2
Auto1.8
Teleop7.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned33%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed