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Red125
245135.6
167535.7
433019.9
Blue106
493131.2
109431.9
432921.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141046080120140160180125106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.3
35.435.7
Auto9.8
Teleop20.2
End5.6
red by 3.8
31.90.1
31.831.9
Auto11.9
Teleop13.2
End6.7
Second
2451
#12
35.60.3
35.335.6
Auto12.0
Teleop19.7
End3.9
red by 4.4
31.20.1
31.131.2
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End6.7
Third
4330
#43
19.90.3
19.719.9
Auto6.4
Teleop10.8
End2.7
blue by 1.1
4329
#30
21.00.1
21.021.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.8
End3.1