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Quarterfinal 1-12016 St. Louis Regional
Red116
245135.6
167535.7
433019.9
Blue47
379224.4
144420.4
450027.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112912040608010012014016018011647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#1
35.70.2
34.3→34.5
Auto9.8
Teleop20.2
End5.6
red by 8.0
4500
#26
27.70.8
28.9→28.1
Auto9.1
Teleop15.4
End3.2
Second
2451
#12
35.60.2
34.2→34.4
Auto12.0
Teleop19.7
End3.9
red by 11.2
3792
#25
24.40.9
25.7→24.8
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End3.5
Third
4330
#43
19.90.2
18.5→18.8
Auto6.4
Teleop10.8
End2.7
blue by 0.5
1444
#11
20.40.8
21.6→20.8
Auto2.8
Teleop13.0
End4.6