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Quarterfinal 1-22016 St. Louis Regional
Red132
245135.6
167535.7
433019.9
Blue80
379224.4
144420.4
450027.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114882040608010014016018013280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#1
35.70.5
34.5→35.0
Auto9.8
Teleop20.2
End5.6
red by 8.0
4500
#26
27.70.4
28.1→27.7
Auto9.1
Teleop15.4
End3.2
Second
2451
#12
35.60.5
34.4→35.0
Auto12.0
Teleop19.7
End3.9
red by 11.2
3792
#25
24.40.4
24.8→24.4
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End3.5
Third
4330
#43
19.90.5
18.8→19.3
Auto6.4
Teleop10.8
End2.7
blue by 0.5
1444
#11
20.40.4
20.8→20.4
Auto2.8
Teleop13.0
End4.6