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Red65
109431.9
423222.9
435628.7
Blue27
425625.1
603414.1
549217.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59682040801006527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.7
23.123.8
Auto11.9
Teleop13.2
End6.7
red by 6.8
4256
#16
25.14.2
25.921.8
Auto6.9
Teleop13.7
End4.5
Second
28.70.7
18.519.1
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End5.8
red by 11.5
5492
#40
17.24.2
22.818.7
Auto4.6
Teleop10.0
End2.6
Third
4232
#29
22.90.7
17.318.0
Auto6.8
Teleop12.9
End3.2
red by 8.8
6034
#41
14.13.6
15.111.5
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed