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Red101
109431.9
532627.5
379224.4
Blue54
128827.2
423222.9
170617.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6463506070809010010154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.94.3
23.828.1
Auto11.9
Teleop13.2
End6.7
red by 4.7
27.20.8
25.024.1
Auto13.7
Teleop10.9
End2.5
Second
5326
#10
27.54.3
21.525.8
Auto8.3
Teleop16.9
End2.2
red by 4.6
4232
#29
22.90.8
18.017.2
Auto6.8
Teleop12.9
End3.2
Third
3792
#25
24.44.3
16.821.1
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End3.5
red by 7.1
1706
#42
17.30.8
18.617.8
Auto5.9
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed