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Red52
460013.8
418723.3
424623.5
Blue92
440422.3
165835.9
109431.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions447202060801001201405292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4246
#22
23.50.6
14.715.3
Auto6.3
Teleop9.2
End7.9
blue by 12.4
1658
#13
35.92.3
21.724.0
Auto11.8
Teleop19.3
End4.7
Second
4187
#24
23.30.6
13.313.9
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End8.8
blue by 8.6
31.92.3
28.130.5
Auto11.9
Teleop13.2
End6.7
Third
4600
#44
13.80.6
18.619.2
Auto2.9
Teleop8.8
End2.1
blue by 8.5
4404
#17
22.32.3
16.118.4
Auto5.5
Teleop12.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed