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Red65
432921.0
493131.2
418723.3
Blue32
270711.9
514716.5
583616.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6140020801006532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.21.0
21.322.3
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End6.7
red by 14.6
5147
#45
16.51.6
15.113.4
Auto2.2
Teleop11.4
End2.9
Second
4187
#24
23.31.0
13.914.9
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End8.8
red by 7.3
5836
#35
16.01.6
17.015.4
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End2.6
Third
4329
#30
21.01.0
20.921.8
Auto6.2
Teleop11.8
End3.1
red by 9.2
2707
#37
11.91.6
9.78.1
Auto0.6
Teleop10.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned31%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed