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Red49
423222.9
575813.9
379224.4
Blue90
415425.5
433111.0
167535.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605301001502004990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3792
#25
24.40.9
21.120.2
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End3.5
blue by 11.3
35.73.0
26.129.1
Auto9.8
Teleop20.2
End5.6
Second
4232
#29
22.90.9
18.817.9
Auto6.8
Teleop12.9
End3.2
blue by 2.6
4154
#15
25.53.0
17.220.2
Auto8.3
Teleop10.1
End7.1
Third
5758
#49
13.90.9
17.316.4
Auto2.1
Teleop9.3
End2.5
red by 2.9
4331
#47
11.03.0
9.512.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed