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Red84
460013.8
128827.2
379224.4
Blue22
297814.6
506018.1
514716.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585101001508422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.22.0
21.623.6
Auto13.7
Teleop10.9
End2.5
red by 9.1
5060
#32
18.13.8
17.013.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End3.0
Second
3792
#25
24.42.0
17.119.2
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End3.5
red by 7.9
5147
#45
16.53.8
16.312.6
Auto2.2
Teleop11.4
End2.9
Third
4600
#44
13.82.0
16.919.0
Auto2.9
Teleop8.8
End2.1
blue by 0.8
2978
#33
14.63.8
17.613.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned38%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed