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Red89
245135.6
423222.9
93124.0
Blue92
493131.2
120828.3
165835.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6979405060901001108992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#12
35.62.3
25.527.8
Auto12.0
Teleop19.7
End3.9
blue by 0.3
1658
#13
35.91.8
25.627.4
Auto11.8
Teleop19.3
End4.7
Second
931
#18
24.02.3
24.827.1
Auto8.6
Teleop11.8
End3.6
blue by 7.1
31.21.8
22.324.1
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End6.7
Third
4232
#29
22.92.3
17.920.2
Auto6.8
Teleop12.9
End3.2
blue by 5.4
28.31.8
27.629.4
Auto7.6
Teleop16.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed