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Red29
38688.9
575813.9
549217.2
Blue87
424623.5
493131.2
506018.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4058020801002987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5492
#40
17.21.4
13.311.9
Auto4.6
Teleop10.0
End2.6
blue by 14.0
31.23.2
24.127.3
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End6.7
Second
5758
#49
13.91.4
17.716.3
Auto2.1
Teleop9.3
End2.5
blue by 9.5
4246
#22
23.53.2
16.519.7
Auto6.3
Teleop9.2
End7.9
Third
3868
#39
8.91.4
10.69.2
Auto1.1
Teleop5.1
End2.7
blue by 9.2
5060
#32
18.13.2
12.816.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
14%Breach oddsMissed44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed