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Red47
575813.9
339722.1
517622.8
Blue97
165835.9
379224.4
117823.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58742040801001204797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5176
#27
22.81.3
23.021.6
Auto6.2
Teleop14.1
End2.6
blue by 13.1
1658
#13
35.93.1
30.633.6
Auto11.8
Teleop19.3
End4.7
Second
3397
#23
22.11.3
19.718.4
Auto3.9
Teleop15.8
End2.4
blue by 2.3
3792
#25
24.43.1
23.126.2
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End3.5
Third
5758
#49
13.91.3
16.315.0
Auto2.1
Teleop9.3
End2.5
blue by 9.9
1178
#20
23.83.1
15.518.6
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsMissed46%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed