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Red81
198530.9
144420.4
549217.2
Blue73
418723.3
93124.0
167535.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578020401001208173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.92.4
29.732.2
Auto6.7
Teleop19.7
End4.5
blue by 4.8
35.70.1
31.831.6
Auto9.8
Teleop20.2
End5.6
Second
1444
#11
20.42.4
17.519.9
Auto2.8
Teleop13.0
End4.6
blue by 3.6
931
#18
24.00.1
26.326.1
Auto8.6
Teleop11.8
End3.6
Third
5492
#40
17.22.4
11.914.4
Auto4.6
Teleop10.0
End2.6
blue by 6.1
4187
#24
23.30.1
16.216.1
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed