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Qual 572016 St. Louis Regional
Red80
278326.1
547619.1
493131.2
Blue57
132924.8
109431.9
433019.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65712040801001208057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4931
#4
31.21.2
27.3→28.5
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End6.7
blue by 0.7
1094
#2
31.91.3
30.6→29.4
Auto11.9
Teleop13.2
End6.7
Second
2783
#5
26.11.2
22.3→23.5
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End3.2
red by 1.3
1329
#19
24.81.3
21.0→19.7
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End4.6
Third
5476
#38
19.11.2
14.6→15.8
Auto8.9
Teleop8.6
End1.7
blue by 0.8
4330
#43
19.91.3
16.7→15.4
Auto6.4
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed