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Red65
460013.8
415425.5
423222.9
Blue72
132924.8
615713.5
418723.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686002040801001201401606572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4154
#15
25.50.9
26.325.5
Auto8.3
Teleop10.1
End7.1
red by 0.7
1329
#19
24.80.7
24.124.8
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End4.6
Second
4232
#29
22.90.9
23.822.9
Auto6.8
Teleop12.9
End3.2
blue by 0.4
4187
#24
23.30.7
22.723.3
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End8.8
Third
4600
#44
13.80.9
14.713.8
Auto2.9
Teleop8.8
End2.1
red by 0.3
6157
#36
13.50.7
12.913.5
Auto0.5
Teleop10.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed