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Red174
34145.7
22554.1
125731.7
Blue112
2546.0
331443.1
108936.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171169120140160180200220174112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
54.10.3
54.454.1
Auto15.2
Teleop31.4
End7.6
red by 8.1
25
#11
46.00.8
46.846.0
Auto11.4
Teleop22.1
End12.4
Second
341
#3
45.70.3
46.045.7
Auto11.3
Teleop24.4
End10.0
red by 2.6
43.10.8
43.943.1
Auto10.1
Teleop27.4
End5.6
Third
1257
#52
31.70.3
32.031.7
Auto9.7
Teleop17.9
End4.0
blue by 4.4
1089
#21
36.10.8
36.936.1
Auto11.2
Teleop21.4
End3.5