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Red172
2546.0
331443.1
108936.1
Blue105
4138.6
198941.7
32132.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181141100150200250172105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#11
46.00.3
48.848.6
Auto11.4
Teleop22.1
End12.4
red by 4.3
41.70.7
42.742.0
Auto11.7
Teleop24.9
End5.0
Second
43.10.3
46.045.7
Auto10.1
Teleop27.4
End5.6
red by 4.5
41
#8
38.60.7
39.638.9
Auto10.3
Teleop23.4
End4.9
Third
1089
#21
36.10.3
39.038.7
Auto11.2
Teleop21.4
End3.5
red by 3.4
321
#14
32.70.7
33.432.7
Auto9.1
Teleop19.2
End4.4