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Red108
121836.5
457336.2
495432.6
Blue130
34145.7
5639.9
36537.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10712550150200108130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#19
36.50.2
36.636.4
Auto9.1
Teleop22.0
End5.4
blue by 9.2
341
#3
45.70.4
45.245.6
Auto11.3
Teleop24.4
End10.0
Second
4573
#35
36.20.2
37.337.1
Auto8.0
Teleop17.9
End10.4
blue by 3.7
56
#15
39.90.4
37.738.1
Auto11.6
Teleop23.9
End4.3
Third
4954
#47
32.60.2
32.432.2
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
blue by 4.9
365
#44
37.50.4
35.836.2
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsMissed10%Capture oddsEarned